Watford valued same as Newcastle!

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Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Remember Colo » Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:08 pm

omegaprimevkm wrote:
Sun Sep 16, 2018 10:34 pm
Remember Colo wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:56 pm

Newcastle has always received more coverage internationally - I know from experience because it's been easy to watch every match in Canada for the past decade.

As for your quip about red, an array of ownership groups have had to learn the hard way that you can't pick some random club out of the Championship and turn them into a favourite of south or east Asia, but Newcastle still benefit from having some degree of success and profile this generation. I understand why compared to Liverpool, Man U, Arsenal, we aren't attractive to those investors, but we're still a much more prominent option compared to the likes of Cardiff, Hull, QPR, Blackburn and the others that have floundered under owners thinking they can use them to drum up foreign fans and revenue.
Or lessons for the past have contributed to a lack of attraction.

Chinese foreign investment rules are definitely preventing some clubs from advancing right now.
Here we're definitely on the same page. I think they've come to realize an English football club isn't some golden ticket to Chinese business windfall. Especially nowadays when every team is so flush with money, and fans already have allegiances to the big clubs that are continuing to top the tables.

Plus, to top it off, as you said, their investment rules have made it even more difficult.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by omegaprimevkm » Sun Sep 16, 2018 10:34 pm

Remember Colo wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:56 pm
omegaprimevkm wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:50 pm


As we have seen, a strong home fanbase is financially worthless - just change your club to playing in red and watch the money roll in from the far east.

The billion dollar difference comes from a club that has international interest to one that has none. This club currently has 0 reputation outside of the UK.
Newcastle has always received more coverage internationally - I know from experience because it's been easy to watch every match in Canada for the past decade.

As for your quip about red, an array of ownership groups have had to learn the hard way that you can't pick some random club out of the Championship and turn them into a favourite of south or east Asia, but Newcastle still benefit from having some degree of success and profile this generation. I understand why compared to Liverpool, Man U, Arsenal, we aren't attractive to those investors, but we're still a much more prominent option compared to the likes of Cardiff, Hull, QPR, Blackburn and the others that have floundered under owners thinking they can use them to drum up foreign fans and revenue.
Or lessons for the past have contributed to a lack of attraction.

Chinese foreign investment rules are definitely preventing some clubs from advancing right now.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Remember Colo » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:56 pm

omegaprimevkm wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:50 pm
Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:03 pm


Agreed. That's what I thought when this Staveley group were quibbling over relegation clauses etc.
As we have seen, a strong home fanbase is financially worthless - just change your club to playing in red and watch the money roll in from the far east.

The billion dollar difference comes from a club that has international interest to one that has none. This club currently has 0 reputation outside of the UK.
Newcastle has always received more coverage internationally - I know from experience because it's been easy to watch every match in Canada for the past decade.

As for your quip about red, an array of ownership groups have had to learn the hard way that you can't pick some random club out of the Championship and turn them into a favourite of south or east Asia, but Newcastle still benefit from having some degree of success and profile this generation. I understand why compared to Liverpool, Man U, Arsenal, we aren't attractive to those investors, but we're still a much more prominent option compared to the likes of Cardiff, Hull, QPR, Blackburn and the others that have floundered under owners thinking they can use them to drum up foreign fans and revenue.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Sir Bobby » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:03 pm

omegaprimevkm wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:50 pm
Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:03 pm


Agreed. That's what I thought when this Staveley group were quibbling over relegation clauses etc.
As we have seen, a strong home fanbase is financially worthless - just change your club to playing in red and watch the money roll in from the far east.

The billion dollar difference comes from a club that has international interest to one that has none. This club currently has 0 reputation outside of the UK.
0 is a bit much but agreed overall. International reputation counts for more than ticket sales on the whole. The difference between a full 25,000 stadium and a full 52,000 stadium (at the same ticket price of an average of £30) is about £15m. You could recover a good chunk of that revenue if you have a strong fan base in the Asian market

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by omegaprimevkm » Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:50 pm

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:03 pm
Remember Colo wrote:
Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:53 pm

But we're talking about the difference of over a billion dollars with the valuations of other PL clubs. Plus, a more affordable squad also means less guaranteed costs on the books. The squad is a temporary asset; league status, stadium, training facilities, existing fanbase, etc. is longer-term and more measurable. I guess my fear has always been that if a prospective owner balks at spending 300-400m for the club, how can you expect them to make huge outlays on operating it.

I know I'm oversimplifying it, and I agree the debt structure is a bit of an anchor on things, but I guess I don't just don't trust a new owner is going to spend if that's too rich for their blood.
Agreed. That's what I thought when this Staveley group were quibbling over relegation clauses etc.
As we have seen, a strong home fanbase is financially worthless - just change your club to playing in red and watch the money roll in from the far east.

The billion dollar difference comes from a club that has international interest to one that has none. This club currently has 0 reputation outside of the UK.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by bodacious benny » Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:03 pm

Remember Colo wrote:
Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:53 pm
omegaprimevkm wrote:
Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:40 pm


The squad and the debt structure at Newcastle mean the actual value can never be £400m. Hence the lack of interest in the club.
But we're talking about the difference of over a billion dollars with the valuations of other PL clubs. Plus, a more affordable squad also means less guaranteed costs on the books. The squad is a temporary asset; league status, stadium, training facilities, existing fanbase, etc. is longer-term and more measurable. I guess my fear has always been that if a prospective owner balks at spending 300-400m for the club, how can you expect them to make huge outlays on operating it.

I know I'm oversimplifying it, and I agree the debt structure is a bit of an anchor on things, but I guess I don't just don't trust a new owner is going to spend if that's too rich for their blood.
Agreed. That's what I thought when this Staveley group were quibbling over relegation clauses etc.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Remember Colo » Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:53 pm

omegaprimevkm wrote:
Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:40 pm
Remember Colo wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:30 pm

Agreed. It's a fraction of what other PL clubs have been sold for lately, and most of the value should be in the opportunity and access to PL revenues. And just because he doesn't better utilize marketing revenue, new owners obviously could find ways to increase it.
The squad and the debt structure at Newcastle mean the actual value can never be £400m. Hence the lack of interest in the club.
But we're talking about the difference of over a billion dollars with the valuations of other PL clubs. Plus, a more affordable squad also means less guaranteed costs on the books. The squad is a temporary asset; league status, stadium, training facilities, existing fanbase, etc. is longer-term and more measurable. I guess my fear has always been that if a prospective owner balks at spending 300-400m for the club, how can you expect them to make huge outlays on operating it.

I know I'm oversimplifying it, and I agree the debt structure is a bit of an anchor on things, but I guess I don't trust a new owner is going to spend if that's too rich for their blood.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by omegaprimevkm » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:40 pm

Remember Colo wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:30 pm
Bodacious Benny wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:48 pm
Tbf I've always thought what Ashley is wanting for the club is more than fair. Not sure why everyone kicks off when he says he wants £400m.
Agreed. It's a fraction of what other PL clubs have been sold for lately, and most of the value should be in the opportunity and access to PL revenues. And just because he doesn't better utilize marketing revenue, new owners obviously could find ways to increase it.
The squad and the debt structure at Newcastle mean the actual value can never be £400m. Hence the lack of interest in the club.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by bodacious benny » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:34 pm

Barcelona probably need their own trophy stadium.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Colly » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:33 pm

I did the Barcelona stadium tour for the second time last week, and despite moving the trophy room they still have the Fairs Cup proudly on display...

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by bodacious benny » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:29 pm

How could we be valued at so little, look at our trophy cabinet on the UEFA website (top right...)

https://www.uefa.com/teamsandplayers/te ... index.html

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Donkey Toon » Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:15 pm

I can see it now ... auf wiedersehen petronum!

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by overseasTOON » Tue Sep 04, 2018 5:01 pm

I suppose Watford could claim to have the Harry Potter theme park/studio tour as well...

That's got to add a hefty cash injection to the valuation.

If Jimmy Nail had been a child wizard immortalised in cinema we'd be f***ing laughing and sold by now.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Blue & Maroon » Sun Sep 02, 2018 4:16 pm

Why is this a surprise?

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Colback's Orange Tufts » Sun Sep 02, 2018 2:25 pm

Luque wrote:
Sun Sep 02, 2018 10:09 am
Of course they are.

Our stadium outweighs theirs in valuation

but their squad smashes ours out the park.
21k in the London conurbation > 52k in Newcastle. I mean land prices are on thing. But the ability to get high paying corporate tickets to boxes more so.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Bruuuuuuuuce () » Sun Sep 02, 2018 10:09 am

Of course they are.

Our stadium outweighs theirs in valuation

but their squad smashes ours out the park.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Deleted User » Sat Sep 01, 2018 3:04 pm

overseasTOON wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:56 pm
Watford does have a London Overground connection now.
And is a settled premiere league club as some people have pointed out. i don't think it's that unbelievable.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by overseasTOON » Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:56 pm

Watford does have a London Overground connection now.

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Colback's Orange Tufts » Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:35 pm

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:48 pm
Tbf I've always thought what Ashley is wanting for the club is more than fair. Not sure why everyone kicks off when he says he wants £400m.
Does the 400m include or exclude the debt? Otherwise the enterprise value is like 550m, which is a material difference

Re: Watford valued same as Newcastle!

by Remember Colo » Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:30 pm

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:48 pm
Tbf I've always thought what Ashley is wanting for the club is more than fair. Not sure why everyone kicks off when he says he wants £400m.
Agreed. It's a fraction of what other PL clubs have been sold for lately, and most of the value should be in the opportunity and access to PL revenues. And just because he doesn't better utilize marketing revenue, new owners obviously could find ways to increase it.

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