Rafa Out?

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Re: Rafa Out?

by Aldridge Prior » Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:12 pm

lassassinblanc wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:57 pm
Speedo wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:46 am


I probably agree - but we play Fulham and Huddersfield back-to-back on 15th & 22nd December. Those two games are pretty critical to our season... Both are must-not-lose IMO.
I agree, need to get at least 4 points from those two

I did real a mad stat that the top 3 in the league have more points then the rest of the league combined
Capitalism 8)

Re: Rafa Out?

by lassassinblanc » Tue Nov 06, 2018 3:33 pm

Blame ACJimbo

Re: Rafa Out?

by Remember Colo » Tue Nov 06, 2018 3:26 pm

The coefficient of truthiness is high in this thread.

Re: Rafa Out?

by bodacious benny » Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:24 pm

<laugh>

There are many versions of the truth <gent>

Re: Rafa Out?

by lassassinblanc » Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:21 pm

Yeah after reading it back now and actually fact checking it it is wrong.
Maybe it was that they picked up more points during the weekend then the rest of the league but even then that is wrong too

Re: Rafa Out?

by Donkey Toon » Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:38 pm

overseasTOON wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:36 pm
Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:19 pm


That's an interesting stat, wrong, but interesting :)
I think you'll find it is an alternative fact.

<laugh>

Although Man City do have as many points as the bottom five teams combined. Which is impressive for them a pretty embarrassing for the five.

Re: Rafa Out?

by overseasTOON » Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:36 pm

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:19 pm
lassassinblanc wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:57 pm


I agree, need to get at least 4 points from those two

I did real a mad stat that the top 3 in the league have more points then the rest of the league combined
That's an interesting stat, wrong, but interesting :)
I think you'll find it is an alternative fact.

Re: Rafa Out?

by bodacious benny » Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:19 pm

lassassinblanc wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:57 pm
Speedo wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:46 am


I probably agree - but we play Fulham and Huddersfield back-to-back on 15th & 22nd December. Those two games are pretty critical to our season... Both are must-not-lose IMO.
I agree, need to get at least 4 points from those two

I did real a mad stat that the top 3 in the league have more points then the rest of the league combined
That's an interesting stat, wrong, but interesting :)

Re: Rafa Out?

by lassassinblanc » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:57 pm

Speedo wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:46 am
lassassinblanc wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:32 am
I actually think after watching Huddersfield and Fulham and Southampton and Cardiff games at the weekend, I don't think we'll be relegated as we are be better than them
I probably agree - but we play Fulham and Huddersfield back-to-back on 15th & 22nd December. Those two games are pretty critical to our season... Both are must-not-lose IMO.
I agree, need to get at least 4 points from those two

I did real a mad stat that the top 3 in the league have more points then the rest of the league combined

Re: Rafa Out?

by Speedo » Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:46 am

lassassinblanc wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:32 am
I actually think after watching Huddersfield and Fulham and Southampton and Cardiff games at the weekend, I don't think we'll be relegated as we are be better than them
I probably agree - but we play Fulham and Huddersfield back-to-back on 15th & 22nd December. Those two games are pretty critical to our season... Both are must-not-lose IMO.

Re: Rafa Out?

by lassassinblanc » Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:32 am

I actually think after watching Huddersfield and Fulham and Southampton and Cardiff games at the weekend, I don't think we'll be relegated as we are be better than them

Re: Rafa Out?

by bodacious benny » Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:56 am

Yeah, at the moment it looks like mid 30s would probably be enough but someone always goes on a run (like we did last season).

Re: Rafa Out?

by Speedo » Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:05 am

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:46 am
Donkey Toon wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:21 am
Looking at the table i'm struggling to remember when there were so many teams in the PL with so few points at this stage of the season.

We've won one game in eleven and yet aren't in the bottom 3. Even Palace and Burnley (14th & 15th place) if you pro rata their points would only get to 27 points for the season. Is this as unusual as it seems or have I just not noticed it happening before?

The standard does seem unusually low for supposedly the best league in the world, to not be in the bottom three despite only winning once in eleven is surprising. It backs up the notion that the gap between top of the championship and bottom half of the PL isn’t that big now. Put a lot of playoff area championship teams into the Prem and they’d compete. Sure the top six in the PL are in a league of their own, but outside of that there is a hell of a lot of mediocrity.
Can’t remember where I heard/read this but apparently the combined points total of the bottom 6 is the lowest for ages - pointing to a survival figure of lower 30s. But tbh that can all change very quickly - next weekend about 4 of the bottom 6 have winnable games.

Re: Rafa Out?

by bodacious benny » Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:46 am

Donkey Toon wrote:
Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:21 am
Looking at the table i'm struggling to remember when there were so many teams in the PL with so few points at this stage of the season.

We've won one game in eleven and yet aren't in the bottom 3. Even Palace and Burnley (14th & 15th place) if you pro rata their points would only get to 27 points for the season. Is this as unusual as it seems or have I just not noticed it happening before?
The standard does seem unusually low for supposedly the best league in the world, to not be in the bottom three despite only winning once in eleven is surprising. It backs up the notion that the gap between top of the championship and bottom half of the PL isn’t that big now. Put a lot of playoff area championship teams into the Prem and they’d compete. Sure the top six in the PL are in a league of their own, but outside of that there is a hell of a lot of mediocrity.

Re: Rafa Out?

by Donkey Toon » Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:21 am

Looking at the table i'm struggling to remember when there were so many teams in the PL with so few points at this stage of the season.

We've won one game in eleven and yet aren't in the bottom 3. Even Palace and Burnley (14th & 15th place) if you pro rata their points would only get to 27 points for the season. Is this as unusual as it seems or have I just not noticed it happening before?

Re: Rafa Out?

by Donkey Toon » Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:16 am

Hjl wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 6:03 pm
Well, I think we can all agree now that he is the greatest manager ever.
<laugh> :bandit:

Re: Rafa Out?

by Hjl » Sat Nov 03, 2018 6:03 pm

Well, I think we can all agree now that he is the greatest manager ever.

Re: Rafa Out?

by Remember Colo » Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:36 pm

Ultimately we've been shut out enough to suggest it isn't luck but exactly what we deserved. In football you often create your own luck (good and bad), sit back and defend for 90 minutes and you increase the chances that something breaks against you, and if you don't attack you're unlikely to have any good luck.

Our players seem absolutely hapless when it comes to scoring, and you can assemble as many "responsible" players as you want, but if none of them have instincts, ability or confidence to score, and the team tactics do nothing to elevate them, your team will be in a dire situation, and that seems to be where ours is at.

Re: Rafa Out?

by Donkey Toon » Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:20 pm

Speedo wrote:
Fri Nov 02, 2018 10:09 am
Colly wrote:
Fri Nov 02, 2018 9:29 am
I think exceptionally might be pushing it. You could maybe say we were unlucky in the Chelsea one (late winner, but we certainly didn't deserve that late equaliser just before, it was a pathetic performance defending a 1-0 loss), and Man Utd was half good before an utter capitulation, but we set up to get nothing and managed it every time bar that first half at Old Trafford. Hell, Spurs was the first game of the season when half their team had just got back from the World Cup, perfect time to play them, and we still didn't go for it.

This is by the by though, that was a comment on a statistical anomaly, the home losses to Leicester and Brighton are the ones to really look at.
Fair, we were s*** v Leicester. But against Brighton we were very unlucky (27 shots and no goals?!). Against Cardiff we should have won and would have if Kenedy had scored the pen. Man Utd we lost because they were ludicrously attacking the second half, most of our frontline was injured (Rondon was out, Muto and Kenedy went off with injuries), and we didn't get a stonewall penalty. Chelsea, Yedlin scored a fluke OG and we had key players injured in Lascelles and Shelvey.

Of course we have not done well at all at the start of the season, we have looked quite toothless at times. But we deserve more than we've got, no question about that. We are not a brilliant team by any stretch but there are teams just as s*** or more s*** than we are in this league, no question. We absolutely need to our luck to change, but it's not as bad as people are making out.

Two wins - whether flukey or totally deserved - and everyone will be totally pro-Rafa again, I guarantee. Hopefully that'll begin tomorrow.
And I can guarantee that that is not going to be true.

Also claims to being where we are due to luck is a one-sided argument. Maybe Fulham, Huddersfield and Cardiff should all have a couple more wins under their belts but for luck. You think bad luck only happens to us?

Re: Rafa Out?

by Donkey Toon » Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:19 pm

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:55 pm
I can see Huddersfield, Cardiff and Fulham being in the bottom 3 come the end of the season, we just have to start winning games soon.

Those are the 3 we have to hope to finish above. But I fear if Fulham sort their defence out we won't.

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