Seasons prospects

User avatar
biggeordiedave
Living in his head rent free
Living in his head rent free
Posts: 24278
Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2012 11:06 pm
Location: Northumberland... so not actually a Geordie

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by biggeordiedave » Sun Mar 06, 2022 9:11 pm

Don Sholeone wrote:
Sun Mar 06, 2022 7:33 pm
Win against Southampton and it removes all relegation fears for me, 31 points with still plenty of winnable fixtures remaining and plenty of opportunities to pick up some draws, not even my most pessimistic moments would see me thinking about relegation.
I'm usually only happy when it is mathematically confirmed, but I can see this season being one of the lowest in terms of points required for safety.
Kindly deeds done for free!

Don Sholeone
Brazil (Neymar)
Brazil (Neymar)
Posts: 12202
Joined: Tue Feb 07, 2012 2:41 pm

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by Don Sholeone » Sun Mar 06, 2022 10:28 pm

biggeordiedave wrote:
Sun Mar 06, 2022 9:11 pm
Don Sholeone wrote:
Sun Mar 06, 2022 7:33 pm
Win against Southampton and it removes all relegation fears for me, 31 points with still plenty of winnable fixtures remaining and plenty of opportunities to pick up some draws, not even my most pessimistic moments would see me thinking about relegation.
I'm usually only happy when it is mathematically confirmed, but I can see this season being one of the lowest in terms of points required for safety.
I remember last season when we were all panicking about Fulham and they ended up going down on 28 points, we are 1 point away from last year's safety margin as it stands, I can't see it being that low this year, but also not too much higher. Got a feeling 35 will be more than enough.

User avatar
Remember Colo
Ancient Forum Relic
Ancient Forum Relic
Posts: 12016
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2012 12:57 am
Location: Toronto

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by Remember Colo » Mon Mar 07, 2022 1:54 am

biggeordiedave wrote:
Sun Mar 06, 2022 9:11 pm
Don Sholeone wrote:
Sun Mar 06, 2022 7:33 pm
Win against Southampton and it removes all relegation fears for me, 31 points with still plenty of winnable fixtures remaining and plenty of opportunities to pick up some draws, not even my most pessimistic moments would see me thinking about relegation.
I'm usually only happy when it is mathematically confirmed, but I can see this season being one of the lowest in terms of points required for safety.
I haven't reviewed it in a while, but I seem to recall it's been trending down for a while, and the target points total most talk up as necessary for survival tends to be a lot higher than what's actually needed anymore. Although the bottle of the table is more congested that it's seemingly been in years (yet my perception might be wrong on that).

User avatar
bodacious benny
Whiskey Business
Whiskey Business
Posts: 35989
Joined: Sat Feb 04, 2012 11:18 am

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by bodacious benny » Mon Mar 07, 2022 8:20 am

Mid 30s has generally always been enough for the last umpteen number of years. It has been a long time since you needed 40 points to stay up I think, probably West Ham about 15 years ago when they went down with 40 odd points was the last time.

With the games we have left we should be fine. Burnley’s little run is well and truly over, Norwich are back to being awful and Watford are losing regularly so all good below us too.
I'm the scumbag outlaw. You're the pillar of justice. Neither of us like looking at ourselves in the mirror. Do we have a deal?

User avatar
biggeordiedave
Living in his head rent free
Living in his head rent free
Posts: 24278
Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2012 11:06 pm
Location: Northumberland... so not actually a Geordie

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by biggeordiedave » Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:03 am

I think the current bottom three are the teams that will get relegated. I know Everton and Leeds are in immediate danger too, but they've both got enough quality to get out of it.
Kindly deeds done for free!

User avatar
bodacious benny
Whiskey Business
Whiskey Business
Posts: 35989
Joined: Sat Feb 04, 2012 11:18 am

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by bodacious benny » Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:18 am

Yeah I think that's the likely outcome, though Burnley have a habit of putting together a few 1-0 wins towards the end of the season.
I'm the scumbag outlaw. You're the pillar of justice. Neither of us like looking at ourselves in the mirror. Do we have a deal?

User avatar
biggeordiedave
Living in his head rent free
Living in his head rent free
Posts: 24278
Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2012 11:06 pm
Location: Northumberland... so not actually a Geordie

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by biggeordiedave » Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:32 am

Bodacious Benny wrote:
Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:18 am
Yeah I think that's the likely outcome, though Burnley have a habit of putting together a few 1-0 wins towards the end of the season.
Still got Norwich and Watford to play too, but ultimately I don't think they'll be able to get out of it. It'll be interesting if it gets to the last day though...

Arsenal vs Everton
Burnley vs Newcastle
Brentford vs Leeds

If Burnley beating us means Everton could go down, I might be a bit conflicted <laugh>
Kindly deeds done for free!

User avatar
Remember Colo
Ancient Forum Relic
Ancient Forum Relic
Posts: 12016
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2012 12:57 am
Location: Toronto

Re: Seasons prospects

Post by Remember Colo » Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:03 pm

biggeordiedave wrote:
Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:03 am
I think the current bottom three are the teams that will get relegated. I know Everton and Leeds are in immediate danger too, but they've both got enough quality to get out of it.
And with Bamford back now, and Phillips set to return this month, that should be a huge boost for Leeds too.

Post Reply